{"id":4624,"date":"2022-10-25T16:44:19","date_gmt":"2022-10-25T21:44:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/?p=4624"},"modified":"2022-10-28T21:07:03","modified_gmt":"2022-10-29T02:07:03","slug":"la-camara","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/en\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/","title":{"rendered":"La C\u00e1mara"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Willard Manrique: \u00bfQu\u00e9 amenaza el precio de los commodities y el \u00abhuevo\u00bb?<\/h3><\/div>
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En los \u00faltimos dos a\u00f1os, la industria automotriz ha venido experimentando diversos retos, desde el log\u00edstico, para hacer llegar los veh\u00edculos a diversas partes del mundo en un entorno caracterizado por la crisis de contenedores; hasta el productivo, con una marcada escasez de materias primas para la producci\u00f3n de autopartes, generada -primero- por la crisis energ\u00e9tica en Asia y por el conflicto b\u00e9lico en Europa. En este marco, es clave analizar c\u00f3mo se ha comportado la oferta y demanda vehicular en nuestro pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n

Al primer trimestre de este a\u00f1o, la Asociaci\u00f3n de Autos del Per\u00fa (AAP) registr\u00f3 la venta e inmatriculaci\u00f3n de m\u00e1s de 40 mil veh\u00edculos livianos en todo el territorio nacional. Esto significa un incremento del 14.8% respecto al mismo periodo del a\u00f1o anterior. Nos encontramos frente a un escenario de incremento de la demanda, pese al contexto pol\u00edtico, econ\u00f3mico y social que enfrenta nuestro pa\u00eds. Es importante destacar que este incremento en la venta e inmatriculaci\u00f3n de veh\u00edculos se da en un escenario de mayores precios.<\/p>\n

A nivel mundial, Ucrania es el primer proveedor (70%) de gas ne\u00f3n; mientras que Rusia es el primer proveedor global de paladio (40%) y el tercero de n\u00edquel (5%). La escasez generada por el conflicto b\u00e9lico pone en riesgo la producci\u00f3n global de bater\u00edas, microchips, entre otros. A la fecha, esta producci\u00f3n y exportaci\u00f3n se ha paralizado. De cara a esto, S&P Global Mobility ha ajustado su proyecci\u00f3n de 85 a 81.6 millones de veh\u00edculos producidos a nivel mundial para el 2022.<\/p>\n

La escasez de veh\u00edculos favorece a los concesionarios solo si pueden incrementar los precios de cara al consumidor final. Esto no ocurren en todos los pa\u00edses. Tambi\u00e9n dinamiza el mercado de veh\u00edculos de segunda mano. Por el contrario, los fabricantes s\u00ed resultan perjudicados ya que venden menores vol\u00famenes y sus costos fijos no se reducen significativamente. Para el consumidor, comprar un veh\u00edculo en la actualidad es m\u00e1s costoso, las tasas de financiamiento son m\u00e1s altas y es m\u00e1s dif\u00edcil acceder al cr\u00e9dito.<\/p>\n

Nos enfrentamos a un escenario complejo, donde la oferta est\u00e1 en declive frente a un mercado con precios y demanda en aumento. Ser\u00e1 clave para las empresas concesionarias observar de cerca c\u00f3mo evoluciona la capacidad de compra de sus clientes, el manejo de inventarios, la b\u00fasqueda de alternativas de financiamiento y la reducci\u00f3n de gastos. Controlar los gastos resultar\u00e1 clave para estar preparado una vez concluido este ciclo alcista.<\/p>\n<\/div>

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Revisa la nota completa<\/span><\/i><\/a><\/div>
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<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4704,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[134],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articulos"],"yoast_head":"\nLa C\u00e1mara - Willard Manrique<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/en\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La C\u00e1mara - Willard Manrique\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/en\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Willard Manrique\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-10-25T21:44:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-10-29T02:07:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/A_LaCamara2022.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1202\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Willard Manrique\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Willard Manrique\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Willard Manrique\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/#\/schema\/person\/5341186d124454865261f1dc3f296696\"},\"headline\":\"La C\u00e1mara\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-10-25T21:44:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-10-29T02:07:03+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/\"},\"wordCount\":1827,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/#\/schema\/person\/5341186d124454865261f1dc3f296696\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/A_LaCamara2022.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Art\u00edculos\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/willardmanrique.pe\/2022\/10\/25\/la-camara\/\",\"name\":\"La C\u00e1mara - 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